Leaked Cap Table — April 2026

The $852B
Cap Table Mess

From a nonprofit research lab to the most valuable private company in history. Scroll through every round, every dilution event, every structural twist that created the most chaotic ownership structure in tech.

0 Valuation ($B)
0 Total Raised ($B)
0% CEO Equity
0 Best Return (x)
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Ownership at each stage

Nonprofit
December 2015
December 2015

The Nonprofit Founding

$1B pledged Nonprofit

Sam Altman, Elon Musk, Reid Hoffman, Peter Thiel, Greg Brockman, and others announce OpenAI as a nonprofit research lab. They pledge $1 billion, though only ~$130M is actually collected by 2019.

The mission: "ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity." The Foundation owns everything. There are no investors, no equity, no cap table. Just a research lab and a dream.

Key donors: Musk ($38M confirmed), Hoffman, Thiel, AWS ($7.5M credits), Infosys ($7.5M)
March 2019

The For-Profit Pivot

$1B from Microsoft ~$1B valuation Capped profit GPT-2 launched

One month after releasing GPT-2 — which they initially called "too dangerous to release" — OpenAI creates "OpenAI LP," a capped-profit subsidiary. Microsoft invests $1B for a minority stake and becomes the exclusive cloud provider.

The profit cap: first-round investors can earn at most 100x their investment. Everything above that reverts to the nonprofit. This sounds reasonable in 2019. It will not age well.

The deal: Microsoft gets equity + exclusive cloud rights + 20% of OpenAI revenue. OpenAI gets $1B + Azure compute. Musk has already left the board (2018).
2021 – January 2023

Microsoft Goes All In

+$12B from Microsoft $29B valuation GPT-3 · DALL-E · ChatGPT

This era covers three major releases: GPT-3 (Jun 2020), DALL-E (Jan 2021), and ChatGPT (Nov 2022). Each one raised the stakes. Microsoft adds $2B in 2021, then another $10B in January 2023 — weeks after ChatGPT hit 100M users. Total investment: ~$13B. Microsoft now holds ~32.5%.

Revenue sharing: Microsoft gets 20% of OpenAI's revenue; OpenAI gets ~20% of Azure OpenAI Service revenue. Both continue until an "expert panel" certifies AGI.
April 2023

Series E: The Hype Round

~$300M $27–29B GPT-4 launched

GPT-4 dropped in March — the first model to pass the bar exam. One month later, Thrive Capital leads ($1.3B eventual total), joined by a16z, Sequoia, Khosla Ventures, and others. Every fund in Silicon Valley wants allocation.

Early angels — Hoffman, Thiel, Kutcher's Sound Ventures — are sitting on 30-140x paper returns from their founding-era checks. Khosla's early bet is already worth 30x.

Quiet cap change: Around this time, the profit cap is reportedly modified to increase by 20% annually starting in 2025. The 100x ceiling starts to look more like a suggestion.
November 2023

The Board Crisis

CEO fired & rehired Governance crisis

The nonprofit board fires Sam Altman on November 17, citing he "was not consistently candid." Within 48 hours, 95%+ of employees threaten to leave. Microsoft offers to hire the entire team.

Altman is reinstated 5 days later. The board is reconstituted with Bret Taylor as Chair and Larry Summers joining. This episode proves the nonprofit board has real power — and that power is destabilizing.

Structural impact: Investors now demand clearer governance before committing mega-round capital. The restructuring discussion begins in earnest.
October 2024

Series E Extension

$6.6B $157B valuation GPT-4o · o1

GPT-4o (May) made the flagship model free. o1 (September) introduced "reasoning" and outperformed PhDs on science benchmarks. One month later, Thrive Capital leads again. SoftBank enters with $500M, Nvidia with $100M, plus a16z, Fidelity, MGX, and Tiger Global. Valuation 5x's in 18 months.

In the background, SoftBank has been buying employee shares on secondary markets at an ~$80B valuation. The cap table is getting crowded.

Employee liquidity: SoftBank bought $1.5B of stock from current and former employees via secondary sales at ~$80B valuation.
March 2025

Series F: SoftBank Leads

$40B $300B valuation GPT-4.5 · o3-mini

GPT-4.5 (February) and o3-mini dropped weeks before the round closed. The pattern is now unmistakable: ship a model, then raise. SoftBank leads a $40B round at $300B. Blackstone, TPG, and T. Rowe Price join. OpenAI is now worth more than Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup combined.

OpenAI ARR has tripled from ~$6B to ~$20B. Monthly revenue hits $1.5B. The AI revenue machine is real, but it's still burning cash on compute.

October 2025

The PBC Conversion

$500B valuation Structure change Profit cap removed o3 · GPT-5

The defining structural event. OpenAI Inc becomes the "OpenAI Foundation" (nonprofit). The for-profit arm reforms as "OpenAI Group PBC". The 100x profit cap is removed entirely.

The Foundation retains ~26% equity and controls 100% of board appointments. California AG Bonta and Delaware AG Jennings both approve.

Largest employee liquidity event in tech: Up to $10.3B authorized at $500B. ~$6.6B sold. Average employee comp: $1.5M/year.
February – March 2026

The $122B Mega-Round

$122B raised $852B post-money o4-mini · GPT-4.1

o4-mini and GPT-4.1 ship in quick succession. Then: the largest private funding round in history. Amazon ($50B), SoftBank ($30B), and Nvidia ($30B) lead. OpenAI also raises $3B from retail investors via bank channels and ARK Invest.

Microsoft — diluted from 32.5% to 26.79% — sits on a $228B position from $13B invested. The Foundation's 25.8% is worth $220B, the most valuable nonprofit asset in human history.

What's next: S-1 expected Q3 2026. IPO expected Q4 2026 or Q1 2027 on NASDAQ. SoftBank's $40B bridge loan has a 12-month term, implying a liquidity event is imminent.

The Return Multiples

Paper returns at the $852B valuation, sorted by multiple. The range from 140x to ~1x tells the story of when you got in.

Reid Hoffman & Peter Thiel
Angel investors, 2015
~$10M
140x
Sound Ventures
Ashton Kutcher & Guy Oseary, early
~$20-30M
43x
Khosla Ventures
Early institutional, ~$50M
~$50M
30x
Microsoft
Strategic, 2019–2023 · 26.79%
~$13B
17.6x
Thrive Capital
Series E lead, 2023 · 1.98%
~$3.5B
4.8x
MGX
Abu Dhabi sovereign, 2024 · 0.69%
~$1.5B
3.9x
Andreessen Horowitz
Series E, 2023 · 0.79%
~$2.5B
2.7x
SoftBank Group
Oct 2024 onward · 11.73%
~$50B+
~2x
Amazon
Series G, Feb 2026 · 5.88%
$50B
~1x
Nvidia
Series G, Feb 2026 · 3.52%
$30B+
~1x
Sam Altman
CEO · $76,001 salary
$0
0x
0%

Sam Altman's Equity in OpenAI

The CEO of the most valuable private company in history owns exactly zero percent of it. In September 2024, Bloomberg reported a 7% stake was being discussed — worth ~$10.5B at the time. The board said "no specific figures have been discussed." At the PBC conversion, he received nothing.

He earns a $76,001 annual salary. His cap table entry reads "TBD/Pending." Prediction markets on Kalshi are actively trading on whether he'll receive equity in 2026.

He's not poor — he's worth ~$2B+ from Helion Energy, Worldcoin, Reddit, and other personal investments. But the optics are unprecedented.

Zuckerberg at Meta
~13%
+ 58% voting control
Pichai at Google
~0.04%
$2B+ in stock comp
Nadella at Microsoft
~0.03%
$1B+ in stock
Altman at OpenAI
0%
$76K salary

The Structural Mess

Four structural eras in eleven years. Each one more complex than the last.

2015 – 2019

Pure Nonprofit

501(c)(3) research lab. No equity, no investors, no profit motive. Funded by donations.

Simple
2019 – 2025

Capped-Profit Subsidiary

"OpenAI LP" — a for-profit arm under the nonprofit. Investors capped at 100x returns. Nonprofit retains control and gets all excess profits. No one fully understood this structure.

The cap was quietly modified in 2023 to increase by 20% annually starting 2025, effectively inflating the ceiling toward infinity.

Complex
Oct 2025

PBC Conversion

"OpenAI Group PBC" (Public Benefit Corporation) replaces the capped-profit. The 100x cap is removed entirely. The nonprofit becomes the "OpenAI Foundation" with 25.8% equity and 100% board control.

Required approval from California and Delaware AGs. Over 50 orgs protested, calling the deal "full of holes." The Foundation's $130B+ stake is paper wealth, not cash for grantmaking.

Unprecedented
2026 →

Pre-IPO / Public Company

S-1 expected Q3 2026. IPO Q4 2026 or Q1 2027 on NASDAQ. Potential valuation: $830B–$1T. The nonprofit Foundation will be the largest non-government shareholder of a public company.

Meanwhile, Elon Musk's fraud lawsuit goes to trial on April 27, 2026 — four weeks before the expected S-1 filing.

TBD

How Weird Is This?

Every major tech IPO had a recognizable cap table. OpenAI's is in a category of its own.

Company Structure at IPO Founder Equity Top Investor Time to IPO
Google C-corp, dual-class shares ~30% (Page + Brin) Kleiner & Sequoia ~15% 6 years
Facebook C-corp, dual-class shares ~28% (Zuckerberg) Accel ~10% 8 years
Uber C-corp, standard ~8.6% (Kalanick, post-ouster) SoftBank ~16% 10 years
Stripe C-corp, dual-class ~27% (Collisons) Sequoia ~?% 14+ years
SpaceX C-corp, standard ~42% (Musk) Fidelity ~?% Not yet public
OpenAI Nonprofit → PBC. Foundation controls board. 0% (Altman) Foundation 25.8%, Microsoft 26.8% 11 years

Every company above had a founder with significant equity, a standard corporate structure, and investors who understood what they owned. OpenAI has none of these.


The Revenue Machine

OpenAI's revenue is real and growing fast. But at 42x forward revenue, it's priced for perfection.

2023
$2B
2024
$6B
3x YoY
2025
$20B
3.3x YoY
2026E
$46B
2.3x YoY
Run Rate
$24B
$2B/mo

Valuation / Revenue multiple comparison (lower = cheaper):

AAPL
8x
MSFT
13x
NVDA
23x
OpenAI
42x fwd rev

What Happens When AGI Arrives?

Buried in the Microsoft partnership is one of the strangest contractual provisions in corporate history.

Under the original 2019 deal, if an "expert panel" appointed by OpenAI's board certifies that the company has achieved Artificial General Intelligence, Microsoft loses access to AGI technology. The revenue-sharing agreement ends. The API access ends. The exclusive cloud partnership — functionally ends.

The definition of AGI in the contract has never been made public. No one outside OpenAI's board and Microsoft's legal team knows what threshold triggers the clause. And both sides have enormous financial incentives to interpret it in their favor.

In December 2025, Microsoft renegotiated its deal as part of the PBC conversion. The new terms reportedly soften the AGI cutoff — but the exact language remains under NDA.

The Incentive Problem
OpenAI is financially incentivized to never officially declare AGI. Doing so could wipe out its most important partnership.
The Definition Problem
There's no public, agreed-upon definition of AGI. The goalposts can be moved by either party, indefinitely.
The IPO Problem
Public investors will inherit a contract with a kill switch that no one can precisely define. The S-1 risk factors section will be interesting.

Musk v. OpenAI

The man who helped create OpenAI is now suing it for fraud. The trial starts April 27, 2026 — weeks before the expected S-1 filing.

Musk's Investment
$38M
Donated to the nonprofit, 2015–2018
Damages Sought
~3,500x his original donation
Surviving Claims
4
Breach of charitable trust, constructive fraud, fraud, unjust enrichment
Trial Date
Jury trial, ~4 weeks, Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers
Key Evidence
Brockman's private diaries, Altman's emails, Nadella's late-night texts. 2017: Brockman wrote internally "cannot say we are committed to the non-profit" while publicly saying the opposite.
Musk's Pledge
Says he will donate any winnings to charity. Also runs xAI (Grok), a direct competitor valued at $75B.

Cap Table Chaos Level

Normal Messy Kafka OpenAI

A nonprofit → capped-profit → uncapped PBC, with a CEO who owns nothing, a foundation worth $220B that controls the board, retail investors buying private shares through ETFs, a co-founder suing for $134B weeks before the S-1, and 69 investors across 12 rounds totaling $168B. The lawyers are billing more per hour than most engineers earn per month.